DES MOINES, IA – A new Iowa Poll released Sunday shows Pete Buttigieg has surged ahead and now holds a commanding lead among likely Democratic caucusgoers in the first-in-the-nation test of presidential strength on Feb. 3.
The poll, conducted by noted pollster J. Ann Selzer for the Des Moines Register, CNN and Mediacom, showed the 37-year-old mayor from South Bend, Indiana, is currently the first choice of 25 percent of Democrats who say they plan to attend the caucuses. Buttigieg’s support rose 16 percent from the last poll in September, when 9 percent of likely caucusgoers made him their top pick.
The three previous frontrunners in Iowa —Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden — are in a virtual tie for second place.
Warren is currently the top choice for 16 percent of likely caucusgoers, a slip of 6 percentage points from September; while Sanders and Biden both polled at 15 percent. Support for Biden, who led in the first three Iowa Polls of the 2020 caucus cycle, slid 5 percentage points from September, while support for Sanders was up 4 points from two months ago.
This is the first time Buttigieg has led the poll, which shows a continuing reshuffling of Iowa Democrats’ candidate preferences. The poll shows a clear divide between the top tier candidates and others, who polled in the single digits. Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar finished fifth in the poll as the top choice among 6 percent of likely caucus participants.
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The poll, based on telephone interviews earlier this month with 500 likely caucusgoers, has an error margin of 4.4 percent.
» Read more about the Iowa Poll in the Des Moines Register